"A Beautiful Operation": Ukraine’s $7B Drone Strike Takes Out 40 Russian Bombers
An Intel Officer's Iniital Assessment of Ukraine's Remarkable Strike
The early signs are that Ukraine’s “Operation Spiderweb” drone strike on air bases deep inside Russian territory may have taken out up to 40 aircraft and inflicted $7 billion in damage. Following is a compilation and early interpretation of what is known so far about this audacious, creative, and meticulously targeted operation—launched, notably, on the eve of the next round of Istanbul peace talks.
The Basics of Operation Spiderweb
On June 1, Ukraine executed its most far-reaching strategic strike to date—Operation Spiderweb—hitting four major Russian air bases in a coordinated drone assault. The air bases struck were: Belaya (Irkutsk Oblast); Olenya (Murmansk Oblast); Dyagilevo (Ryazan Oblast); Ivanovo Severny (Ivanovo Oblast).
These are not tactical airfields near the front lines. Some are 2,500 miles from Ukraine. And yet, explosive-laden FPV (first-person view) drones—launched from inside Russian territory—successfully penetrated each base, striking some of Russia’s most valuable aerial assets—particularly long range bombers used, among other ways, to launch missile strikes against Ukraine.
The Targets: Bombers and AWACS
Among the aircraft reportedly hit:
Tu-95 and Tu-22M3 strategic bombers—used for cruise missile attacks against Ukrainian infrastructure
A-50 early warning and control (AWACS) aircraft—critical to Russian airspace management and long-range detection
Ukrainian sources claim over 40 aircraft were destroyed or seriously damaged. Official Russian sources are downplaying the number of aircraft hit, but unofficial Russian observers on Telegram and elsewhere are providing numbers that are close to those provided by the Ukrainians. To put this in perspective — if even 20 were hit, it would still represent the most devastating single-day blow to Russian air power since the full-scale invasion began.
The Method: 18 Months of Preparation
Operation Spiderweb is exceptional in many ways — but perhaps the most impressive aspect is its operational elegance.
According to reporting from The Kyiv Independent, The Guardian, and Financial Times, the Ukrainian Security Service (SBU) smuggled drones into Russia over an 18-month period using disguised mobile wooden cabins mounted on trucks. These “forward-deployed” drones were pre-positioned near the airbases and launched by operatives inside Russia at the optimal time—likely synchronized to avoid early detection.
This creative approach Minimized radar exposure, bypassed cross-border air defense systems, and enabled multi-target simultaneous strikes
The Damage: Tactical, Economic, Psychological
The estimated $7 billion in losses includes destroyed aircraft, support equipment, and infrastructure damage. But the impact is more than monetary:
Strategic bomber attrition: These aren’t aircraft Russia can easily replace—particularly the aging Tu-95s and complex A-50s.
AWACS degradation: Damaging even one A-50 is significant; their loss degrades command-and-control in critical theaters.
Internal panic: Russian Telegram channels lit up with footage of explosions and burning aircraft. The official Russian MOD response was muted and vague.
Russia did retaliate with a barrage of drones and missiles—472 drones and 7 missiles were launched toward Ukraine—but Ukrainian air defenses reportedly intercepted 385 of them. That makes this a net tactical and symbolic victory for Ukraine.
Key Takeaways: Assessment of the Operation
This operation produces some powerful takeaways:
Long-game patience: The operational timeline—18 months—suggests extraordinary discipline and planning by Ukraine’s SBU.
Deep asset placement: The launch points appear to be deep within Russian territory, implying either deep-cover operatives or successfully cultivated networks.
Multisite precision: Hitting four targets hundreds of miles apart simultaneously signals both competence and confidence.
Narrative control: By striking bombers associated with mass attacks on civilians, Ukraine shifted the psychological narrative—from victim to vengeful tactician.
This last point is particularly compelling. This was a brilliant strike against precisely the target that mattered most — and it is markedly in contrast to the images of Russian missles hitting civilian targets, causing widespread civilian deaths. Here the target was not only not civilians; it was not even focused on military loss of life == rather the target was the machinery of Russian aggression.
The Geopolitical Context: Istanbul and the Escalation Curve
The operation occurred just before a new round of Istanbul peace talks. By demonstrating this level of operational reach, Ukraine has just reminded Russia that it can impose asymmetric costs and has the ability to reassert control over the strategic narrative after months of stalemate. It disrupt the assumption that “deep Russia” is beyond reach. Evidently it’s not.
Closing: A New Phase?
It’s too soon to fully evaluate the impact. It’s possible this could signal a new doctrine in Ukrainian warfare: strategic degradation by stealth, using time, terrain, and tools unconstrained by legacy thinking. It was not just clever. It was disciplined, invisible until it mattered, and executed with cinematic timing. If Ukraine has more of this in store — and why wouldn’t they?—then it could change the nature and scope of the conflict.
An operational masterpiece, for sure. What I take away is "courage". The courage to keep planning and building. The courage to emplace and operate the systems. The courage of the leadership to go ahead with the attack, fully aware of the retaliation to come. And, most importantly, the courage of the Ukrainian people to keep fighting no matter what comes their way. Awesome, and humbling.
At this time you just have to know that the Kremlin is worrying about what the Ukrainians may have started planning twelve months ago. And six months ago. An operation this far behind enemy lines was a brilliant strategy.